by Calculated Risk on 4/01/2021 03:50:00 PM
Thursday, April 01, 2021
Goldman March Payrolls Preview
A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:
We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 775k in March ... Big Data employment signals also indicate a pickup in job growth, and we expect a favorable swing in the weather to support construction employment following weakness in February. ... We estimate a three-tenth decline in the unemployment rate to 5.9%.CR Note: The consensus is for 565 thousand jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decrease to 6.0%.
emphasis added