by Calculated Risk on 5/23/2021 04:27:00 PM

From Dr. Bob Wachter, Chair, UCSF Dept of Medicine today:

In case anyone cares, I've started eating indoors in SF restaurants. It wasn't any one thing; the risk just fell below my personal threshold: 2/3rds of SF adults fully vaxxed; avg 16 new cases/d in SF, asymptomatic test + @UCSF now 0.16% (ie, 1/600). Plus too cold to eat outside.

The economy will pick up speed as more and more people get vaccinated!

According to the CDC, on Vaccinations. Total administered: 285,720,586, as of yesterday 283,941,223. Day: 1.78 million.  (U.S. Capacity is around 4 million per day)

 
1) 61.3% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose (70% is the goal by July 4th).
2) 130.0 million Americans are fully vaccinated (160 million goal by July 4th)

Note: I'll stop posting this daily once all four of these criteria are met:
1) 70% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose of vaccine, and
2) new cases are under 5,000 per day, and
3) hospitalizations are below 3,000, and
4) average daily deaths under 50 (currently 510 per day).

And check out COVID Act Now to see how each state is doing. 

Almost 12,000 US deaths were reported so far in May due to COVID.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.

This data is from the CDC.

The 7-day average is 24,315, down from 25,315 yesterday, and down sharply from the recent peak of 69,881 on April 13, 2021. This is the lowest since June 15, 2020.

The second graph shows the number of people hospitalized.

This data is also from the CDC.

The CDC cautions that due to reporting delays, the area in grey will probably increase.

The current 7-day average is 23,917, down from 24,720 reported yesterday, but still above the post-summer surge low of 23,000.