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Friday, July 09, 2021

Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 9%

by Calculated Risk on 7/09/2021 01:30:00 PM

From BofA:

We continue to track 2Q GDP growth of 9.5% qoq saar. [July 9 estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman Sachs:
We left our Q2 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +8.5% (qoq ar). [July 9 estimate]
From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 3.2% for 2021:Q2 and 3.8% for 2021:Q3. [July 9 estimate]
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2021 is 7.9 percent on July 9, up from 7.8 percent on July 2. [July 9 estimate]