by Calculated Risk on 4/15/2022 10:42:00 AM
Friday, April 15, 2022
Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
From Goldman:
Following [yesterday]’s upward revisions to retail sales, we boosted our Q1 GDP tracking estimate by 0.5pp to +1.5% (qoq ar). [April 14 estimate]And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
emphasis added
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2022 is 1.1 percent on April 14, unchanged from April 8 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the US Department of the Treasury’s Bureau of the Fiscal Service, modest increases in the nowcasts of real personal consumption expenditures growth and real net exports were offset by declines in the nowcasts of real government spending growth and real residential investment growth. [April 14 estimate]