by Calculated Risk on 6/23/2022 08:42:00 PM

Mortgage rates have fallen from 6.28% just over one week ago to 5.75% today.

Friday:
• At 10:00 AM ET, New Home Sales for May from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for 580 thousand SAAR, down from 591 thousand in April.

• Also, at 10:00 AM, University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Final for June). The consensus is for a reading of 50.2.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID Metrics
	Now	Week Ago	Goal
Percent fully Vaccinated	66.8%	---	≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated (millions)	221.9	---	≥2321
New Cases per Day3	97,430	103,175	≤5,0002
Hospitalized3🚩	24,831	24,358	≤3,0002
Deaths per Day3	255	285	≤502
1 Minimum to achieve "herd immunity" (estimated between 70% and 85%). 2my goals to stop daily posts, 37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths 🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths ✅ Goal met.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.