by Calculated Risk on 7/06/2022 10:32:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Early signs of cooling in the housing market"

A brief excerpt:

Note: Black Knights data on affordability goes back to 1975.

And on the payment to income ratio:

• With 30-year rates hovering close to 6% and home prices up nearly 11% since the start of 2022, affordability is at its worst point since the mid-1980s – when sharp Fed hikes led to high double-digit mortgage rates that resulted in a greater than 50% payment-to-income ratio

• The affordability challenge back then was almost entirely driven by the interest rate environment, while incomes largely kept up with home price growth

• As of mid-June 2022, it takes 36.2% of the median household income to make the mortgage payment on the average priced home purchase, well above the 34.1% post-1980s peak in July 2006

• The monthly principal and interest (P&I) payment for the average-priced home purchased with 20% down is now over $2,100 for the first time on record, up nearly $750 (55%) so far this year and nearly 2X the $1,089 required at the beginning of the pandemic

There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/