by Calculated Risk on 10/14/2022 10:35:00 AM

From CoStar: STR: US Hotel Occupancy Falls, but Rate Increases Remain High

U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week but produced mixed comparisons with 2019, according to STR‘s latest data through Oct. 8.

Oct. 2-8, 2022 (percentage change from comparable week in 2019*):

• Occupancy: 68.2% (-3.5%)
• Average daily rate (ADR): $153.79 (+16.9%)
• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): $104.83 (+12.8%)

While weekday performance showed an expected decline due to Yom Kippur, school breaks and the extended holiday weekend helped lift levels on Friday and Saturday. Performance levels in Florida were also lifted by post-Hurricane Ian demand. ...

*Due to the pandemic impact, STR is measuring recovery against comparable time periods from 2019.
emphasis added

The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four-week average.

Click on graph for larger image.

The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021.  Dashed purple is 2019 (STR is comparing to a strong year for hotels).

The 4-week average of the occupancy rate is above the median rate for the previous 20 years (Blue).

Note: Y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the seasonal change.

The 4-week average of the occupancy rate will decline into the Winter.