by Calculated Risk on 11/11/2022 08:29:00 AM

From CoStar: STR: Calendar Shift Causes Weekly US Hotel Occupancy To Fall

As expected due to the Halloween calendar shift, U.S. hotel performance came in lower than the previous week and showed weakened comparisons to 2019, according to STR‘s latest data through Nov. 5.

Oct. 30 through Nov. 5, 2022 (percentage change from comparable week in 2019*):

• Occupancy: 62.4% (-9.2%)
• Average daily rate (ADR): $147.48 (+11.4%)
• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): $91.99 (+1.1%)

While none of the Top 25 Markets showed an occupancy increase over 2019, Tampa came closest to its pre-pandemic comparable (-1.0% to 72.4%). ...

*Due to the pandemic impact, STR is measuring recovery against comparable time periods from 2019.
emphasis added

The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four-week average.

Click on graph for larger image.

The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021.  Dashed purple is 2019 (STR is comparing to a strong year for hotels).

The 4-week average of the occupancy rate is above the median rate for the previous 20 years (Blue).

Note: Y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the seasonal change.

The 4-week average of the occupancy rate will decline into the Winter.