A brief excerpt:
Interestingly, new home inventory is essentially at a record percentage of total inventory. This graph uses Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) existing home inventory from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) and new home inventory from the Census Bureau (only completed and under construction inventory).There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/
Note: Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American pointed this out in March.
It took a number of years following the housing bust for new home inventory to return to the pre-bubble percent of total inventory. Then, with the pandemic, existing home inventory collapsed and now the percent of new homes is close to 25% of total for sale inventory. The lack of existing home inventory, and few distressed sales, has been a positive for homebuilders.
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