by Calculated Risk on 7/19/2023 08:37:00 AM
Wednesday, July 19, 2023
Housing Starts Decreased Sharply to 1.434 million Annual Rate in June
From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions
Housing Starts:Click on graph for larger image.
Privately‐owned housing starts in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,434,000. This is 8.0 percent below the revised May estimate of 1,559,000 and is 8.1 percent below the June 2022 rate of 1,561,000. Single‐family housing starts in June were at a rate of 935,000; this is 7.0 percent below the revised May figure of 1,005,000. The June rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 482,000.
Building Permits:
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,440,000. This is 3.7 percent below the revised May rate of 1,496,000 and is 15.3 percent below the June 2022 rate of 1,701,000. Single‐family authorizations in June were at a rate of 922,000; this is 2.2 percent above the revised May figure of 902,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 467,000 in June.
emphasis added
The first graph shows single and multi-family housing starts for the last several years.
Multi-family starts (blue, 2+ units) decreased in June compared to May. Multi-family starts were down 9.4% year-over-year in June.
Single-family starts (red) decreased in June and were down 7.4% year-over-year.
The second graph shows single and multi-family housing starts since 1968.
This shows the huge collapse following the housing bubble, and then the eventual recovery - and the recent collapse in single-family starts.
Total housing starts in June were below expectations, and starts in April and May were revised down, combined.
I'll have more later …