A brief excerpt:
Each month I track closed sales, new listings and active inventory in a sample of local markets around the country (over 40 local housing markets) in the US to get an early sense of changes in the housing market. In addition, we can look for regional differences.There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/
After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report, I pick up additional local market data that is reported after the NAR (and I’m adding more markets). This is the final look at local markets in September.
The big story for September was that existing home sales hit a new cycle low. Also new listings were down YoY, but less than over the Summer.
This table shows the YoY change in new listings since the start of 2023. The smaller decline is due to a combination of new listings collapsing in the 2nd half of 2022, and new listings holding up more than normal seasonally (but still historically very low).
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More local data coming in November for activity in October!
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