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Friday, October 13, 2023

Q3 GDP Tracking: High 3s

by Calculated Risk on 10/13/2023 02:10:00 PM

From BofA:

Overall, the data flow since our last weekly pushed up our 3Q US GDP tracking estimate from 3.7% to 3.8% q/q saar. [Oct 13th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
We left our Q3 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +3.7% (qoq ar) and our domestic final sales growth forecast also unchanged at +2.4%. [Oct 10th estimate]
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.1 percent on October 10, up from 4.9 percent on October 5. [Oct 10th estimate]