by Calculated Risk on 11/13/2023 07:31:00 PM
Monday, November 13, 2023
Tuesday: CPI
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Start Higher But Recover Ahead of Key Inflation Report
Mortgage rates began the day at the highest levels in nearly 2 weeks. The underlying bond market had been losing ground steadily since last Thursday and there was some follow-through to that negative momentum early today. Weaker bonds = higher rates, all other things being equal.Tuesday:
But bonds recovered from 10am through the end of the day and the specific bonds that underlie mortgage rates did even better than their Treasury benchmarks.[30 year fixed 7.58%]
emphasis added
• At 6:00 AM ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for October.
• At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for October from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in CPI, and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. The consensus is for CPI to be up 3.3% year-over-year and core CPI to be up 4.1% YoY.