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Friday, February 02, 2024

Feb 2nd COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased

by Calculated Risk on 2/02/2024 07:02:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated.

For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Hospitalizations have more than quadrupled from a low of 5,150 in June 2023.

Hospitalizations are now declining.

COVID Metrics
 NowWeek
Ago
Goal
Hospitalized221,65925,041≤3,0001
Deaths per Week2🚩2,2582,076≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts,
2Weekly for Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Hospitalized and Deaths
✅ Goal met.

COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Weekly deaths have more than quadrupled from a low of 485 in early July.  Still weekly deaths are far below the weekly peak of 26,000 in January 2021.

And here is a graph I'm following on COVID in wastewater as of Jan 25th:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.

Nationally, COVID in wastewater is now off about 40% of the holiday peak at the end of December, and that suggests weekly deaths will start to decrease soon. The South region is at a new peak for COVID in wastewater.