by Calculated Risk on 2/23/2024 11:43:00 AM
Friday, February 23, 2024
GDP Tracking: Q1 Boosted Slightly
From BofA:
On net, this week’s data boosted our 1Q US GDP tracking estimate by a tenth to 1.0% q/q saar. Our 4Q tracking estimate also increased by a tenth to 3.2% q/q saar [Feb 23rd estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We boosted our Q1 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +2.4% (qoq ar) and our Q1 domestic final sales growth forecast by 0.1pp to +2.7% (qoq ar). [Feb 22nd estimate]And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2024 is 2.9 percent on February 16, unchanged from February 15. [Feb 16th estimate] (next release will be on Feb 27th)