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Friday, June 07, 2024

Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.6% to 3.1%

by Calculated Risk on 6/07/2024 12:15:00 PM

From BofA:

Since last week,1Q GDP tracking is up from 1.3% q/q saar to 1.6% q/q saar and 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to 1.6%. [June 7th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
Wholesale inventories increased somewhat below consensus expectations and the preliminary report. We lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate to +2.1% (qoq ar), reflecting weaker details in yesterday’s trade report. Our domestic final sales estimate remains at +2.0% (qoq ar). [June 7th estimate]
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2024 is 3.1 percent on June 7, up from 2.6 percent on June 6. After this morning’s employment situation release from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and this morning's wholesale trade report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcasts of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.4 percent and 5.8 percent, respectively, to 2.8 percent and 7.7 percent. [June 7th estimate]