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Friday, October 16, 2009

More Job Losses in California in September

by Calculated Risk on 10/16/2009 02:31:00 PM

From the California Employment Development Department

EDD’s report on payroll employment (wage and salary jobs) in the nonfarm industries of California totaled 14,200,400 in September, a net loss of 39,300 jobs since the August survey. This followed a loss of 7,200 jobs (as revised) in August.
The goods news is the unemployment rate declined slightly after an upwards revision to the August report:
California’s unemployment rate was 12.2 percent in September ... In August, the state’s unemployment rate was a revised 12.3 percent
The revision makes the 12.3% California unemployment rate for August a new series high (state series began in 1976).

The BLS will release the data for all States on Oct 21st.

Larry Summers on Banks: "Time has come for fundamental change"

by Calculated Risk on 10/16/2009 12:10:00 PM

From MarketWatch: Summers: 'Time has come' for deep change for banks

White House senior economic adviser Lawrence Summers challenged U.S. financial institutions Friday to think about what they can do for their country by stepping up and accepting the regulations imposed upon them in the wake of the largest financial crisis since the Great Depression.

"Financial institutions that have benefited from government support can, should and must use this moment to think about what they can do for their country -- by accepting the necessary regulation to protect the American people," Summers said in remarks prepared for delivery at the Economist's Buttonwood Gathering in New York. "There is no financial institution that exists today that is not the direct or indirect beneficiary of trillions of dollars of taxpayer support for the financial system."
...
"The time has come for fundamental change in the financial sector of our economy -- both in how financial institutions conduct their business and how they are regulated," Summers said.
...
"[We have] one crisis every three years," Summers said. "Surely a system that produces this many accidents and accidents this severe is a system that is in very much need of reform."
Clearly this means much more than consumer protection and aligning compensation with the goals of the corporation (not on taking short term risks). Those are good first steps - as is regulating derivatives - but the key is that no bank should be “systemically important” or "too big to fail".

Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization Increase in September

by Calculated Risk on 10/16/2009 09:15:00 AM

From MarketWatch: U.S. Sept. industrial production up 0.7%

U.S. industrial production increased at an annual rate of 5.2% in the third quarter ... Capacity utilization rose to 70.5% in September from a revised 69.9% in August.
Auto production was up significantly.

Capacity Utilization Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows Capacity Utilization. This series has increased for three straight months, and is up from the record low set in June (the series starts in 1967). Capacity Utilization had decreased in 17 of the previous 18 months.

Note: y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change.

An increase in capacity utilization is usually an indicator that the official recession is over.

Bank of America Still Struggling

by Calculated Risk on 10/16/2009 08:42:00 AM

From Reuters: BofA Posts Loss Amid Consumer Credit Woes

The nation's largest bank reported a net loss of $1 billion... The bank set aside $11.7 billion during the quarter for credit losses, $1.7 billion less than in the second quarter but $5.3 billion more than in the 2008 third quarter.
And from the WSJ:
Credit-loss provisions swelled 81%, while the net charge-off rate was up at 4.13% from 1.84% a year earlier and 3.64% in the second quarter. Total nonperforming assets rose to 3.72% from 1.45% in the prior year and 3.31% last quarter.
The confessional is still open.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

U.S. Charges 41 with Mortgage Fraud

by Calculated Risk on 10/15/2009 10:13:00 PM

This includes lawyers, mortgage brokers, and loan officers ...

From the NY Times: 41 Charged With Widespread Mortgage Fraud

Federal prosecutors announced charges on Thursday against 41 lenders, lawyers and others in the real estate industry who they said used fraud to obtain more than $64 million in loans connected to more than 100 residential properties in New York State.
....
[One case involved] a Bronx real estate company called MTC, 10 people were accused of participating in a $5.6 million “foreclosure rescue” scheme in which they sought out troubled mortgage holders facing foreclosure, running radio ads in which they presented themselves as saviors.

An indictment said that the defendants in that case ... duped troubled homeowners into selling their properties at low prices or persuaded them to transfer the deeds to their homes, promising to help solve their financial problems and then return the properties.

Instead, prosecutors said, Ms. Bills and other defendants flipped those properties to straw buyers at inflated prices subsidized by unaffordable loans that the defendants persuaded lenders to issue based on false documentation.
It is hard to believe how callous and greedy some people are (assuming the charges are true).